Odds, Interrogated
Every price turned into a probability, across every sport N4 covers. See what the market really thinks once the bookmaker margin is stripped out, where one bookmaker is out of line, and which way prices are moving.
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What is implied probability?
Implied probability is 1 ÷ the decimal odds. Odds of 2.00 imply a 50% chance; 4.00 implies 25%.
Why do the percentages add up to more than 100%?
Bookmaker margin is why the probabilities of every outcome add up to more than 100%. Removing it proportionally gives the fair probability, the market's real opinion. The coloured bar on each price is that fair probability.
What does “value spot” mean?
Beats market flags a bookmaker whose price is at least 3% better than the average view of three or more books. It is not a tip or a prediction, and no outcome is ever certain.
How is price movement worked out?
Movement compares today's average price with the first price N4 tracked for that event, so it only shows once N4 has seen the price change.